「八號烈風或暴風信號的機會未能完全抹煞」
(個人理解為比常用的「不能排除」, 發八號的機會更低)
另浣熊的移動加快，將在下午稍後時間登陸，到時減弱得更快
香港會唔會受烈風影響(會都可能得很短時間)，加大決定發信號的難度
[ 本帖最後由 limited 於 2008-4-19 14:15 編輯 ]
回復 9#-11# 的帖子
I think that HKO should consider different cases or lurking variable very carefully.However, no matter what is the final answer, the mistakes may not be avoided.Expecially, should #3 or #8 be issued?
It is not easily to answer, and it depends on the different real situation.However, HKO will be complained by citizens no matter what situations. :L
HKO can only think in terms of scientific logic, which is one of the reasons to have trouble.However, there is one exception: The mistake made in 2006 is our study case because HKO approves that it just followed the rule that has been effective since 1970s. :L :funk: Can everyone state more clearly because I am not so sure?
:P
[ 本帖最後由 hp7629 於 2008-4-19 14:28 編輯 ] 原帖由 limited 於 2008-4-19 14:09 發表 http://www.hkitalk.net/HKiTalk2/images/common/back.gif
天文台在兩點的預報用了較少見的字眼
「八號烈風或暴風信號的機會未能完全抹煞」
(個人理解為比常用的「不能排除」, 發八號的機會更低)
另浣熊的移動加快，將在下午稍後時間登陸，到時減弱得更快
香港會唔會受烈風影響( ...
無須諗得太複雜
英文版都係CANNOT BE RULED OUT
同之前不能排除都係一樣 原帖由 limited 於 2008-4-19 14:09 發表 http://www.hkitalk.net/HKiTalk2/images/common/back.gif
天文台在兩點的預報用了較少見的字眼
「八號烈風或暴風信號的機會未能完全抹煞」
(個人理解為比常用的「不能排除」, 發八號的機會更低)
另浣熊的移動加快，將在下午稍後時間登陸，到時減弱得更快
香港會唔會受烈風影響( ...
澳門都掛八號烈風或暴風信號...個機會會多小小囉... 原帖由 SmiTHy 於 2008-4-19 14:45 發表 http://www.hkitalk.net/HKiTalk2/images/common/back.gif
澳門都掛八號烈風或暴風信號...個機會會多小小囉...
話晒佢近澳門多d，地勢無香港咁複雜，掛錯又唔駛面對咁多批評，果邊做決定容易得多。 天文台話浣熊已經在陽江附近登陸並
減弱為一個熱帶風暴，所以掛八號的
機會相對降低。
浣熊現時最高持續風速為每小時85公里。 4分鐘前 天文台再發出黑色暴雨警告:funk:
今次浣熊雨帶仲勁過其風力...