港股又來2月翻版? (再創新高)

美國次按問題 + 日圓增強引發 Carry trade 的擔憂
情況同二月有九成相似
美股星期五晚跌多 200 幾點
港股看來下星期都應該係跌市多

年頭港股創 21000 新高, 然後三月最低跌至 18659
上星期港股最高去到 23500
都應該係時候調整一下
話唔定會試返 21500 點, 唔駛咁急「撈底」

唔知大家又點睇?

[ 本帖最後由 limited 於 2007-8-28 01:33 編輯 ]

Furthermore, according to the news, the result of HSBC (HK 0005) is more important.

One and only one statement here can be true:
1. If HSBC gains as many as market estimated (or better), then HSI has a support point at about 22000 points.

2. If HSBC gains too little compared with market estimated, then HSI goes down till about 21700.  

My opinion:
HSI goes up too quickly from 21000 to more than 23000, the going down speed, i.e. 641 points (nearly 3%), is normal because of the only-going-down in the whole world market.


In this situation, the short-term point should go down as low as 21700 because the US market goes down 208 points more.

"Stop rubbish going up!" (writting by hp7629 )



[ 本帖最後由 hp7629 於 2007-8-1 13:37 編輯 ]

原帖由 hp7629 於 2007-7-30 08:09 發表
Furthermore, according to the news, the result of HSBC (HK 0005) is more important.

One and only one statement here can be true:
1. If HSBC gains as many as market estimated, then HSI has a support p ...

匯豐業績好過市場預期, 暫時都可以鬆一口氣, 短期唔駛睇得太悲觀

Unfornately, because the US stock market goes down 167 points, and HK0941 goes down quickly, break down HSI 767points! (*20)

Go up or down depends on the direction of whole world stock market.  Next, the big buyer and sellers are important to control the direction of the stock market.

Therefore, "rubbish going up" appears because some stocks are too cheap to buy, and they are brought by the big buyers.



[ 本帖最後由 hp7629 於 2007-8-1 14:39 編輯 ]

原帖由 TL 於 2007-8-1 16:37 發表

美國近日公佈既經濟數據真係差到冇眼睇, 係尋晚公佈既消費者信心指數做得特別好.
次按問題惡化仍然未解決, 仲有持續惡化趨勢. 日圓套息活動影響似乎冇二月尾咁厲害.

日圓套息活動仲攪到今日港元匯價跌至新低，一美元兌港紙竟然跌到7.83．．．．．．

[ 本帖最後由 3AD172004 於 2007-8-1 20:12 編輯 ]

似乎極有機會重演差不多80年前的經濟大蕭條......

但今次比 2-3 月的情況更加嚴重
果次跌完 777 後都好快升番,
但呢個星期真係好弱,
星期五美股又跌 281 點,
星期一都係 DIE HARD